Factors Affecting Angling Productivity in a 5.1 Mile Section of the McKenzie River

Factors Affecting Angling Productivity in a 5.1 Mile Section of the McKenzie River

Interested in why fish bite some days and not others?

So were we!  One of the side benefits of a rigorous sampling program like we have for the Five-Year Mark & Recapture Study is that we now have robust, quality-checked datasets to ruminate on!  The 2010-2011 dataset includes over 1,400 angler hours on the river, and some 1,000 fish events.  Since our data is date-specific, we can (and have!) associated it with date-specific environmental variables.

We did preliminary exploration of the dataset using the following variables:

Productivity variables – the ones we wanted to try to get to the bottom of!

  • Bull trout productivity (fish per angler hour)
  • Chinook salmon smolt productivity (fish per angler hour)
  • Wild cutthroat trout productivity (fish per angler hour)
  • Wild rainbow trout productivity (fish per angler hour)
  • Hatchery rainbow trout productivity (fish per angler hour)
  • Steelhead smolt productivity (fish per angler hour)
  • Whitefish productivity (fish per angler hour)
  • Tagged fish (wild cutthroat + wild rainbow) productivity (fish per angler hour)
  • Total productivity, all species (fish per angler hour)

Environmental variables – a cross-section of weather, flow, and temperature variables which speak to common conceptions of when fish tend to bite:

Trip Data:

  • Day of calendar year (indicator of early versus late in the season)
  • Number of anglers in boat
  • Names of anglers
  • Total trip time

Flow:

  • CFS at Walterville
    • Daily mean
    • Day-over-day (1-day) change
    • Day-over-day (1-day) trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 3-day moving average
    • 3-day average change
    • 3-day trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 10-day moving average
    • 10-day average change
    • 10-day trend (rising/falling/steady)
  • CFS at Vida
    • Daily mean
    • Day-over-day (1-day) change
    • Day-over-day (1-day) trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 3-day moving average
    • 3-day average change
    • 3-day trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 10-day moving average
    • 10-day average change
    • 10-day trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • Vida minus Walterville CFS (indicator of EWEB canal operations)
  • CFS at Hayden Bridge
    • Daily mean
    • Day-over-day (1-day) change
    • Day-over-day (1-day) trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 3-day moving average
    • 3-day average change
    • 3-day trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 10-day moving average
    • 10-day average change
    • 10-day trend (rising/falling/steady)

Water Temperature:

  • Vida daily maximum temperature
  • Vida daily minimum temperature
  • Vida temperature spread (max – min)
  • Vida daily mean temperature
    • Daily mean
    • Day-over-day (1-day) change
    • Day-over-day (1-day) trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 3-day moving average
    • 3-day average change
    • 3-day trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 10-day moving average
    • 10-day average change
    • 10-day trend (rising/falling/steady)

Weather:

  • Moon phase (percent of full)
  • Daily maximum air temperature
  • Daily minimum air temperature
  • Daily mean air temperature
    • Daily mean
    • Day-over-day (1-day) change
    • Day-over-day (1-day) trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 3-day moving average
    • 3-day average change
    • 3-day trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 10-day moving average
    • 10-day average change
    • 10-day trend (rising/falling/steady)
  • Daily mean barometric pressure
    • Daily mean
    • Day-over-day (1-day) change
    • Day-over-day (1-day) trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 3-day moving average
    • 3-day average change
    • 3-day trend (rising/falling/steady)
    • 10-day moving average
    • 10-day average change
    • 10-day trend (rising/falling/steady)
  • Daily mean wind direction (cardinal direction, 18 divisions)
  • Daily mean wind speed
  • Daily total precipitation
  • Daily mean cloud percentage